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TV channel, kickoff time, NFL live stream, spread, odds, prediction

Another chapter will be added to one of sports’ greatest rivalries on Sunday. Adding to the drama of the latest Steelers-Ravens showdown is the fact that this game will determine which team is in first place in the AFC North through 11 weeks.

Pittsburgh is off to a surprising 7-2 start, largely because of the play of its quarterbacks and a defense that is currently No. 2 in the NFL in points allowed. Russell Wilson has taken the baton from Justin Fields and has run with it. He’s 3-0 as Pittsburgh’s starting quarterback after throwing the game-winning touchdown pass in last Sunday’s upset win over Washington.

Baltimore enters Sunday’s game with a 7-3 record. The Ravens have responded to their ugly Week 8 loss to the Browns with impressive wins over the Broncos and Bengals. Baltimore is getting treated to MVP-caliber seasons from Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry. Defensively, the Ravens are tops in the league against the run but are last in passing yards allowed.

Where to watch Ravens vs. Steelers
When: Sunday, Nov. 17 | 1 p.m. ET
Where: Acrisure Stadium — Pittsburgh
TV: CBS
Live stream: Paramount+ (click here)
Follow: CBS Sports App
Odds: Ravens -3, OU 47.5 (via BetMGM)
When the Ravens have the ball
A lot has rightfully been said about the Lions offense, but the league’s highest-scoring unit resides in Baltimore. Baltimore is averaging 31.8 points per game, has scored 41 points in a game three times and has scored at least 30 points on three other occasions.

The catalyst for that success continues to be quarterback Jackson, who once again finds himself in the middle of league MVP talk. Jackson has thrown a league-best 24 touchdowns against just two interceptions. He also leads the NFL in touchdown-to-interception ratio, yards-per-attempt, and passer rating. Jackson also remains the NFL’s most dangerous running quarterback, although he doesn’t run as much as he used to.

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Lamar Jackson
BAL • QB • #8
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A big change in Baltimore’s offense has been the unit’s dependency on Jackson. Yes, Jackson is still leaned on heavily, but he no longer has to shoulder the burden of carrying the entire load. That has led to less running and fewer mistakes, which in turn has led to a better offense and possibly the best version of Jackson at this point in his career.

A better, deeper receiving corps, an improved offensive line and the arrival of Henry are the reasons why Jackson no longer has the weight of the world on his shoulders. At age 30, Henry is enjoying one of the best seasons of his career. He leads the NFL in carries (184), yards (1,120) and touchdown runs (12) and is on pace to win his third rushing title. If Henry wasn’t already a slam dunk future Hall of Famer before this season, he certainly is now.

“We have been really good at running the ball for a long time, but he is different,” Ravens coach John Harbaugh said of Henry following his team’s blowout win over the Broncos. “He’s adding a dimension that we have not had before. I don’t know, you can go back to Jamal Lewis, maybe? This is different, and I’m excited about it.”

On Sunday, Baltimore’s offense will go toe to toe with Pittsburgh’s second-ranked scoring defense. While they’re a pedestrian 19th in the league in passing yards allowed, the Steelers secondary is fifth in the NFL in both interceptions (10) and touchdown passes allowed (8). The Steelers have gotten back to be dominant against the run as they are No. 4 in league in rushing yards allowed as well as average yards-per-carry allowed.

Stalwarts Cam Heyward, T.J. Watt and Minkah Fitzpatrick continue to lead the Steelers defense. But the trio has been aided by the play of several newcomers, including two former Ravens in linebacker Patrick Queen and safety DeShon Elliott. Elliott has been a stellar run-stuffer for Pittsburgh. Queen is coming off of possibly his best game since coming to Pittsburgh.

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Patrick Queen
PIT • LB • #6
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Fellow offseason acquisition, cornerback Donte Jackson, has played extremely well opposite Joey Porter Jr., who has continued to evolve during his second season. Undrafted rookie cornerback Beanie Bishop Jr. was named NFL Defensive Player of the Year for October after picking off Aaron Rodgers twice and Daniel Jones once in Pittsburgh’s wins over the Jets and Giants.

Pittsburgh recently added to its defense by acquiring veteran pass rusher Preston Smith just before the trade deadline. Smith and and second-year linebacker Nick Herbig (who is coming back from an injury) will fill the void left by Alex Highsmith’s recent ankle injury that is expected to sideline him for several weeks. Pittsburgh’s pass rush will be a critical element to Sunday’s game, led by Watt, who pressured Jackson into an incomplete pass on a 2-point conversion attempt to seal the Steelers’ 20-19 win over Baltimore back in 2021.

A key matchup on Sunday will be Zay Flowers against Porter, who was flagged several times this past Sunday as he struggled in his one-on-one matchup against Commanders veteran wideout Terry McLaurin. It’ll be interesting to see if Ravens offensive coordinator Todd Monken gives former Steelers Pro Bowl wideout Diontae Johnson a chance to make a play during his first game against his old team.

When the Steelers have the ball
Steelers coach Mike Tomlin is getting Coach of the Year hype, largely because of his decision to change quarterback from Fields to Wilson after six weeks and a 4-2 start. While Fields played well, Wilson has been even better and has made Tomlin’s decision age remarkably well.

Wilson doesn’t have Fields’ mobility, but he can still make the occasional play with his legs. Wilson also still possesses his patented moon ball that was on display during his game-winning touchdown pass to recently acquired wideout Mike Williams in Washington. Wilson also brigs valuable leadership and experience to a young Steelers offense.

Wilson has also helped improve Pittsburgh’s efficiency in the red zone, which was one of the main reasons why the Steelers wanted him this past offseason. He threw a pair of red zone scoring strikes (one to George Pickens, the other to tight end Pat Freiermuth) during the recent win over Washington.

Much has been made about Pittsburgh’s lack of depth at receiver. The Steelers somewhat remedied that with the acquisition of Williams, a two-time 1,000-yard receiver with the Chargers. Pittsburgh’s receivers have also continued to display growth, especially Calvin Austin III and Van Jefferson. The speedy Austin scored big touchdowns in wins over the Chargers and Giants. Jefferson was quiet against Washington, but he did catch four passes for 62 yards in Pittsburgh’s previous game against the Giants.

It’s no secret that Pittsburgh’s most explosive offensive player is Pickens, who pulled down the game-winning touchdown the last time these two teams met in Pittsburgh. After years of being underutilized, Pickens is finally getting the targets that befit a No. 1 receiver, and he is making the most of those targets. He’ll have his work cut out for him on Sunday against Marlon Humphrey, who has already picked off four passes this season.

Pittsburgh’s tight ends will be a key element of Sunday’s game, in both the passing and running games. The Steelers offense has embraced multiple tight end looks under new offensive coordinator Arthur Smith, and the result has been a vastly-improved running game, led by four-year veteran Najee Harris. The Steelers running game should be even better now with Jaylen Warren back to his usual form after fighting through injuries during the season’s first half.

Another key to Pittsburgh’s offensive success has been the play of its offensive line that includes two rookie starters in center Zach Frazier and Mason McCormick. Sunday will be a best test for not only them but for the Steelers’ entire offensive line, as Baltimore boasts a formidable front-seven, led by All-Pro linebacker Roquan Smith, outside linebackers Kyle Van Noy and Odafe Oweh and defensive tackle Nnamdi Madubuike.

Prediction
As good as Pittsburgh’s defense is (in addition to the Steelers’ 3-1 lifetime record vs. Jackson), the Ravens are going to score some points. This game will instead come down to whether or not the Steelers offense can keep pace while taking advantage of Baltimore’s 32nd-ranked pass defense.

In order to do that, the Steelers will also have to run the ball, which will be a challenge against Baltimore’s stiff run defense. Additionally, Pittsburgh’s offensive line (specifically tackles Dan Moore Jr. and Broderick Jones) need to do an adequate job minimizing the impact of Baltimore’s formidable pass rush.

In games between similar teams, I often look for two things: the quarterback comparison and whether or not one team has a significant advantage anywhere. The Steelers’ offense appears have a significant advantage against Baltimore’s 25th ranked scoring defense, but something tells me that Jackson will make a few more plays on Sunday that will put Baltimore over the top.

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Predictions, against the spread bets, props by top expert on 65-46 run

The NFL playoff picture is starting to come into focus heading into the Week 11 of the 2024 season. Thanks to a blocked field goal on the final play of the game, the Kansas City Chiefs (9-0) kept their perfect record in tact with a 16-14 win over the Denver Broncos in Week 10. The Chiefs will hit the road to take on the Buffalo Bills (-2.5, 46) in one of the marquee matchups on the Week 11 NFL schedule. Will Kansas City stay undefeated and tighten their grip on the top spot in the AFC standings, or will the Bills end their perfect season and move within one game of Kansas City in the race for the AFC’s playoff bye? The game marks just the second time this season the Chiefs have been underdogs. Before you lock in any Week 11 NFL picks or prop bets, be sure to check out the Week 11 NFL best bets and predictions from SportsLine expert Jimmie Kaylor.

Kaylor is an NFL, college football and DFS expert for SportsLine, who has covered the NFL and college football for close to a decade as a member of the Pro Football Writers of America. His background as a former college football All-American and NFL player gives him a unique perspective when building his fantasy lineups and locking in his betting picks. He has his finger on the pulse of the college football landscape and has been cashing in big on sports betting apps for the last two years.

Kaylor has destroyed the sportsbooks in NFL betting this season, netting 16.1 units while posting a 65-46-1 record since Week 1. All of his picks have been featured on his SportsLine expert page or in his weekly bylined articles. Anyone who followed his picks is way up. You can only see Kaylor’s Week 11 NFL picks, predictions, and prop bets at SportsLine.

Top Week 11 expert NFL picks
With the betting lines and prop bet markets now fully available, Kaylor has locked in the Green Bay Packers (-5.5, 40.5) covering against the Chicago Bears as one of his top Week 11 NFL picks. The Bears have lost three straight games, and are averaging only nine points per game during that stretch. Heralded rookie quarterback Caleb Williams has struggled mightily, and the Packers have one of the top defenses in the NFC this season. Moreover, Green Bay has covered the spread in five straight trips to Soldier Field.

“What’s more troubling to me, though, are the rumblings of divide within Chicago’s locker room. There were reportedly multiple veterans who would have rather seen rookie Caleb Williams benched before (Shane) Waldron getting fired. That doesn’t bode well when matching up with a well-coached Green Bay team that is coming off a bye,” Kaylor told SportsLine. You can see the rest of Kaylor’s Week 11 NFL best bets here.

How to make Week 11 NFL against the spread picks
In addition, Kaylor has locked in seven additional picks, including one touchdown prop bet that pays 7-1. You can only find out what it is, and see the rest of Kaylor’s Week 11 NFL best bets, at SportsLine.

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Burrow under 257.5 yards

49ers quarterback Brock Purdy is coming off a strong showing in last week’s win over the Buccaneers, throwing for 353 yards and two touchdowns. Purdy will now lead the 49ers against the Seattle Seahawks in an NFC West showdown on Sunday. San Francisco’s signal-caller torched Seattle’s secondary for 255 passing yards and three touchdowns on Oct. 10. Purdy’s over/under for total passing yards on Sunday is 262.5 according to the latest Week 11 NFL props. Purdy has eclipsed that total four times this season, but should he be included in your Week 11 NFL prop picks?

There is plenty of value in the numerous of NFL players props available in the latest Week 11 NFL odds. With sites like DraftKings, FanDuel, PrizePicks, Underdog Fantasy, Sleeper Fantasy, and more offering tons of games surrounding Week 11 NFL player props, you’ll want to check out the top Week 11 player props and NFL prop predictions from the SportsLine AI PickBot.

Built using cutting-edge artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques by SportsLine’s Data Science team, AI Predictions and AI Ratings are generated for each player prop. The AI predictions are determined by statistically learning from each player’s historical data and then quantitatively evaluating the strength of the opponent’s defense by assigning a numeric value out of 100 called a matchup score.

Once a prediction is formulated, the AI rating is generated using the prediction, the matchup score, and the odds of the market. SportsLine’s AI PickBot has nailed 2,029 4.5- and 5-star prop picks since the start of last season. Anyone who has followed it at their favorite sports betting site and betting apps is way up.

For NFL Week 11 NFL betting, the AI PickBot has evaluated the NFL player prop odds and provided prop picks for every position and every available prop market sites like PrizePicks, FanDuel and DraftKings. You can only see the AI player prop predictions for NFL Week 11 at SportsLine.

Top Week 11 QB, RB, WR player prop picks
Here’s a look at some of the top Week 11 NFL prop picks from SportsLine AI:

Quarterback: Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals: 257.5 passing yards

Burrow is coming off a sensational performance against the Ravens, throwing for 428 yards and four touchdowns. This number appears to be a bit inflated due to that performance given the fact Burrow has finished with 251 passing yards or less in four of his last five outings. Burrow and the Bengals take on the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday Night Football, a defense that’s giving up only 191.6 passing yards per game. The AI PickBot is projecting Burrow will finish with 224.8 passing yards against the Chargers, rating the Under as a 4.5-star play. The pick: Under 257.5 passing yards. See more NFL props here.

Running back: Rhamondre Stevenson, New England Patriots: 56.5 rushing yards

Stevenson received a large workload in New England’s victory over the Bears last week, recording 20 carries for 74 yards. He’s racked up 50 carries over his last three outings, which bodes well for his usage heading into Sunday’s matchup against the Rams. The AI PickBot is projecting Stevenson will finish with 70.6 rushing yards against Los Angeles, rating the Over as a 4.5-star play. The pick: Over 56.5 rushing yards. See more NFL props here.

Wide receiver: George Pickens, Pittsburgh Steelers: 66.5 receiving yards

Pickens has quickly built a solid rapport with quarterback Russell Wilson. He’s finished with 74 or more receiving yards in each of his last three games and is averaging 19.7 yards per reception during that three-game stretch. In last week’s win over the Commanders, Pickens hauled in five receptions for 91 yards and a touchdown. The AI PickBot is predicting Pickens will finish with 86.4 receiving yards against the Ravens, rating the Over as a 4.5-star play. The pick: Over 66.5 receiving yards. See more NFL props here.

How to make Week 11 NFL prop bets
In addition, the AI PickBot has also locked in confident Week 11 NFL prop picks involving Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, D’Andre Swift, Puka Nacua and Travis Kelce. It’s also identified a star quarterback who sails past his total and has 11 other NFL props rated 4.5 stars or better. You must see the AI PickBot’s analysis before making any NFL prop bets.

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Optimizer shares Week 11, 2024 daily fantasy football lineups, projections for DraftKings, FanDuel

Jared Goff had five interceptions against the Texans last week. However, the Lions still defeated Houston, 26-23, and Goff finished as the QB13 with 240 yards and two touchdowns. Goff also entered the game completing at least 80% of his passes in four of his last five games. Which version of Goff should daily Fantasy football players expect against the struggling Jaguars when making Sunday Week 11 NFL DFS lineups? The Lions are 13.5-point favorites against the Jaguars, according to the latest Week 11 NFL odds from the SportsLine Consensus, so your NFL DFS strategy should factor in the possibility Goff may not be asked to throw often. Are you better off rostering Lions running backs like Jahmyr Gibbs from the NFL DFS player pool? Before making any NFL DFS picks for Sunday or locking in NFL DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to check out SportsLine’s advanced NFL DFS Lineup Optimizer.

The DFS Optimizer uses info from the SportsLine Advanced-Data Projection Model and DFS Professional Millionaire Mike McClure to identify top DFS picks/plays for any slate on betting apps like DraftKings and FanDuel. It simulates every game 10,000 times to help DFS players optimize and build winning DraftKings and FanDuel lineups. Optimize, export, and enter lineups confidently with injury updates, floor and ceiling player projections, and Vegas lines and picks all with one winning tool for sports betting apps.

Now, SportsLine’s NFL DFS Optimizer has turned its attention to Sunday’s 2024 NFL Week 11 schedule and just locked in its top daily Fantasy football lineups. You can only see its optimal lineups at SportsLine.

Top NFL Week 11 DFS picks for Sunday
One of the Optimizer’s top DFS value picks for Sunday is Patriots tight end Hunter Henry ($3,900 on DraftKings and $5,300 on FanDuel). Henry’s spike in production has coincided with Drake Maye taking over at starting quarterback as the rookie has been seeking out the veteran tight end often. Hunter has at least 40 yards in four of the last five weeks, all games started by Maye. He only had one game with more than 40 yards over his first five games of the season.

Henry (questionable, foot) is TE11 in Fantasy football over the last five weeks and he was TE8 from Weeks 6-9 before having just one reception for 14 yards against the Bears last week. But given Henry had at least five receptions in three of the prior four contests, last week’s lack of production doesn’t appear to be the norm. Henry still comes at a cheaper price tag and the Patriots play the Rams, who are allowing the ninth-most Fantasy football points to opposing tight ends this season.

The Optimizer’s NFL DFS strategy also includes rostering Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill ($7,400 on DraftKings and $8,500 on FanDuel). The 30-year-old was held to three receptions for 16 yards last week, but one of those receptions resulted in a 1-yard touchdown to salvage his performance for NFL DFS lineups. He had at least 70 receiving yards in back-to-back games before last week as Hill remains a crucial part of the Miami offense.

The Dolphins play the Raiders, who have the third-worst scoring defense in the NFL, allowing 27.9 points per game. Las Vegas enters on a five-game losing streak, allowing at least 30 points in three of those contests and is most recently coming off a 41-24 loss to the Bengals in Week 9 before the bye. Miami’s victory last weekend keeps the Dolphins at least as a longshot in the playoff mix at 3-6 and if Miami is going to go on an extended winning streak to challenge for a playoff spot, Hill will be a major part of that. You can see the rest of the Optimizer’s NFL DFS picks here.

How to build Sunday Week 11 NFL DFS lineups
The NFL DFS Optimizer is also targeting multiple undervalued players who could explode for huge numbers on Sunday. Those players could be the difference between winning your tournaments and cash games or going home with nothing. You can only see who they are, and the rest of the Optimizer’s NFL DFS picks, at SportsLine.

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Sunday Night Football picks, bets from NFL model on 17-7 run

A primetime AFC contest has the Los Angeles Chargers (6-3) and Cincinnati Bengals (4-6) linking up on Sunday Night Football. The Bengals have lost two of their last three games, including a gut-wrenching 35-34 loss to the Baltimore Ravens last week. Los Angeles has strung along a three-game winning streak. Last week at home, the Chargers outlasted the Tennessee Titans, 27-17. Both teams covered the spread last week.

Kickoff from SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Los Angeles is a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Bengals vs. Chargers odds from the SportsLine Consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 48. The Chargers are -124 money line favorites (risk $124 to win $100), while the Bengals are +104 underdogs. Before locking in any Bengals vs. Chargers picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 17-7 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 197-136 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 51-29 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.

Now, the model has simulated Bengals vs. Chargers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and NFL betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for Chargers vs. Bengals:

Chargers vs. Bengals spread: Los Angeles -1.5
Chargers vs. Bengals over/under: 48 points
Chargers vs. Bengals money line: Los Angeles -124, Cincinnati +104
CIN: Bengals are 6-4 against the spread this season
LAC: Chargers are 6-3 ATS this season
Chargers vs. Bengals picks: See picks at SportsLine
Chargers vs. Bengals streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Chargers can cover
Quarterback Justin Herbert has pinpoint accuracy and a rocket of an arm. He also has the athleticism to pick up yards with his legs. He has done an strong job of protecting the ball (one turnover) in his first season playing for Jim Harbaugh. This season, he’s completing 66% of his passes for 1,889 passing yards and 11 passing touchdowns. Herbert has thrown at least 230 passing yards in four of his last five games.

Running back JK Dobbins is the lead bellcow in the backfield. Dobbins has contact balance and power when running the ball. The Ohio State product ranks 10th in the NFL in rushing yards (670) and is tied for eighth in rushing touchdowns (8). He’s finished with more than 50 rushing yards in five games. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Bengals can cover
Quarterback Joe Burrow has strong field vision and is playing at an elite level. The LSU product leads the NFL in passing touchdowns (24) and passing yards (2,672). Burrow has seven games with at least two passing touchdowns this season. Last week against the Ravens, Burrow went 34 of 56 for 428 yards and four passing scores.

Receiver Ja’Marr Chase has been unstoppable in 2024. Chase is explosive in the open field and is a big play waiting to happen. He leads the NFL in receptions (66), receiving yards (981), and touchdowns (10). Chase also has 12 catches of 20-plus yards. In his last outing, the 24-year-old has 11 receptions for 264 yards and three touchdowns. The 24-year-old has gone over 100 yards three times this season. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Bengals vs. Chargers picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 51 points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in more than 60% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s picks.

So who wins Bengals vs. Chargers on Sunday Night Football, and which side of the spread cashes more than 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bengals vs. Chargers spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

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Mahomes-Allen the new Brady-Manning; Jonathan Taylor rolls Jets

It’s insane we’re already in Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season. We’re hoofing through the regular season at breakneck speed and probably setting up for a pretty incredible playoff run, with several teams we know are good and a whooooooole lot of teams who might be terrible but might still be playoff teams as well when it’s all said and done.

We mentioned previously the last time we had such a murky layer of mediocrity around the back end of the bracket was 2006, when the last undefeated team — the Colts, with Peyton Manning — won the Super Bowl. It feels familiar to this year with what the Chiefs are doing, and no one should be surprised if/when we end up with a reasonably chalky matchup in New Orleans (think Chiefs/Lions or something similar).

But Sunday also features (on CBS) the best matchup of the whole season with the Bills hosting the Chiefs. This isn’t the Super Bowl. No regular-season game is. But it might as well be a playoff matchup, because the winner is most likely to score the No. 1 seed in the AFC, therefore securing a bye and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.

And while we’ve seen Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid go on the road and win, obviously asking them to return to Buffalo for an AFC title game makes life much more difficult than ripping off a pair of games in Arrowhead.

It’s unfair to call anything “the Brady vs. Manning of this generation” because those two might be the two best quarterbacks in the history of football, if you’re willing to slice the stats a certain way and have a legitimate discussion about greatness. But Josh Allen vs. Mahomes is pretty darn close to being just that. I’ll confidentially call Mahomes “a top-five quarterback of all time” right now, assuming he isn’t retiring anytime soon, given his stats and awards and Super Bowls under his belt already.

Allen isn’t on Manning’s level, but he is a perfect foil for the Patriots-esque dynasty being built in Kansas City. Like Manning with Brady and the Pats, Allen’s career can’t be discussed without mentioning the presence of Mahomes and the Chiefs. You could argue Allen might have a couple Super Bowls or a couple MVPs or a couple of both if weren’t for Mahomes existing.

Will Allen end up being a Charles Barkley to Michael Jordan’s 90s Bulls teams? Or will the Bills eventually break through and steal one from Mahomes like Manning did twice against the Patriots? They forced them to come to Indy in 2006 and it helped the Colts do just that.

I don’t want to overstate how important Sunday afternoon’s matchup is, but if it determines home field in the playoffs, it might very well shift the paradigm for viewing Allen and Mahomes when their careers are over.

THE NFL TODAY will be live from Buffalo on Sunday. Fans can join the crew in Lot 6 at Highmark Stadium starting at noon ET on Nov. 17.

Week 11 best bets
Bills ML (-130)
I’m backing Allen and Sean McDermott to get it done against Kansas City this week. The playoffs might be another story, but the Bills have had a lot of success against the Chiefs … in the regular season. Allen is 3-1 against Mahomes before the postseason rolls around in his career. And unlike in previous years, you can argue the Bills are the better team anyway. Buffalo’s been more dominant for most of the season, even though Kansas City has the better record. They’re a weird level of undefeated, probably the “worst” (I’d prefer “least impressive”) undefeated team since the Chiefs of 2013, when Alex Smith came to town. This version of K.C. is different because we saw the Chiefs do something similar last year, which is also very much like the Patriots. Stack wins, figure out who your team is throughout the regular season, then turn it on during the playoffs offensively. Adding DeAndre Hopkins is a huge benefit too, with Rashee Rice and Hollywood Brown already being out for the year. But the Bills have enough firepower to overcome this defense and find a way to win the game on Sunday.

Bet on the Bills vs. the Chiefs at Ceasar’s Sportsbook

Bonus: The SportsLine Projection Model revealed its Week 11 NFL score predictions. Check out every exact score prediction for the upcoming games, including what is expected from the AFC showdown between the unbeaten Chiefs and the Bills.

Rams/Dolphins ML parlay (-106)
The Dolphins took care of the Rams on Monday night, winning a massive game to keep their playoff hopes alive. Both teams are on a short week here, but I’m going to back them each to take care of very winnable games. The Dolphins return home to play the Raiders, who will be trotting out Gardner Minshew in a spot where you can expect Miami’s defense to once again perform at a high level and potentially shift the game/field in a way that impacts the final score. At relatively full health now, the offense should could against Antonio Pierce’s defense, even with the Raiders off the bye. The Rams simply can’t lose this game in New England. It’s not a freebie, with the Patriots getting frisky again the last two weeks, but at 4-5 the Rams want to stay alive in the NFC West race as well as the wild-card battle. I think they’ll show up in a much better way offensively against the Pats and find a way to snuff out Drake Maye and Co. with pressure on defense.

Bet a Rams/Dolphins moneyline parlay at Fantatics Sportsbook

Jonathan Taylor over 86.5 rush yards (-110)
The Jets find themselves in their eighth straight must-win game, having lost most of them over the last month plus. October was an unmitigated disaster for New York and people are asking Aaron Rodgers if should bother coming back for next year already. The Jets defense isn’t nearly as good as it was when we thought they were a quarterback away and they’re still a quarterback away. I think the Jets offense probably shows up for this game, but I also expect the Colts running game to travel. Jonathan Taylor should run wild with Anthony Richardson back in the fold, presumably with some designed runs built in. I like Taylor’s anytime TD number (-105) as well but am a little worried Richardson could vulture scores for a team willing to throw out the kitchen sink in his return to save their playoff hopes.

Bet on Jonathan Taylor props at Bet MGM Sportsbook

Jalen Hurts anytime TD (-105)
Once again, Jalen Hurts isn’t being priced properly for a guy who is getting all the goal line work for Philly. Saquon Barkley should have a solid if not elite day against the Commanders and I wouldn’t be shocked if he scores. But he has a knack for being tackled inside the 5-yard line this year (perhaps a bit unlucky in that regard) and Nick Sirianni has a knack for dialing up the ‘tush push’ when the Eagles get to the goal line. It’s been highly effective this season and in particular the last month. Hurts has EIGHT rushing touchdowns in his last four games and I think at this price I’ll keep playing it, especially when there are multiple paths to him scoring a rushing TD or getting the rock on the goal line.

Bet Jalen Hurts touchdown props at DraftKings Sportsbook

Drake London under 5.5 receptions (-130)
This is a Patrick Surtain II bet, not a Drake London fade. Regardless, I think the expectation for this matchup between two playoff contenders — and a sneaky interesting game on a loaded slate — should be that the offense funnels through Bijan Robinson and Darnell Mooney, a thing I actually typed in the Year of our Lord, 2024. Denver’s defense has been elite so far this season and Sean Payton hates the Falcons as much as anyone, so I expect maximum effort from a surprising Broncos squad. I also expect Surtain to spend all day with London, forcing Kirk Cousins to look in another direction and keeping his receptions and yardage total at a minimum.

Bet Drake London props at DraftKings Sportsbook